It was just 10 years passed since when I came back in Japan to publish my book $B!H(BThe concept of richness$B!I(B from Las Vegas.
$B!H(BThe concept of richness$B!I(B argued about the view of the world at the 21st century.
It stated about the future of China which was still one of the developed countries in those days.
First of all,
Let me quote some parts of my book $B!H(BThe concept of richness$B!I(B published 10 years ago as follows.
China$B!G(Bs intention for future (From the book of $B!H(BThe concept of richness$B!I(B (January 15 2002)
When the communist and socialist nations collapsed, the U.S. supported Russia because of the same white race. Realizing that there was no remedy for Russia, the U.S. changed the object for support from Russia to China. For a long time the most serious threat to the U.S. has been China but never the Soviet Union.
The potentiality of the state with a vast extent of land and an overwhelming number of people is the threat after all. To the U.S. it may be China and India.
India is a hierarchical nation religion rule; it has never been completely unified since the Indus Valley Civilization. Originally they are Aryan, the origin of the European, with more than 100 languages and even now most of them can speak at least 10 to 15 kinds of the languages. They have nothing in common but the caste system and religion such as Hinduism, Jainism, Islam and Buddhism. So it will never be able to be a modern state forever.
The other threat is China; it has the greatest potentialities that are about to bloom. China is becoming the most serious rival to the U.S. that has been aiming to dominate the world. The U.S. once thought to destroy China but, for now, must know it$B!G(Bs impossible. The U.S. used to make a fuss over Japan as its partner whose economy was highly developing; (Of course, they actually discriminated against Japanese as the colored in those days, too.) however, it treats Japan as a subject state in the same way as the postwar days. What the U.S. inside fears is that it would be in danger if Japan allied with China for the same Mongoloid. So it must cut in them to prevent that at all cost. It has to take the edge off the power of Japan before China, which is not independent yet, blooms with the power.
Japan has no way but expects the 10-year-long recession in 1990s is continuing or try to drastically rebuild the state to recover on its own.
Then, what is the China thinking about? It is now leaning to the U.S.; however it doesn$B!G(Bt consider the U.S. to be its partner because the tradition of Sinocentrism and grudges and terror for the past invasion by the white are intermingled deep down inside. Needless to say, Japan is just a dependency to China.
In either case, Japan needs to perceive the fact that the world just sees it as a small country in the remote Far East.
Future of the triangular structure: the U.S., Japan, China
As for the Chinese economic growth, GDP still keeps increasing by 8% a year to have exceeded 10 trillion Yen (about 1.2 trillion dollars.)
On the contrary, the U.S. GDP was 10 trillion dollars in 2001; Japan was four trillion dollars. The ratio of GDP in 1996 between America and Japan (A:J=6:4) peaked, later the gap was widening, and today 10:4.
The America$B!G(Bs GDP is surely increasing by about 4% while the Japan$B!G(Bs has taken a negative growth since 1998.
Roughly speaking, each GDP is,
US ... 10 trillion dollars
Japan ... 4 trillion dollars
China ... 1.2 trillion dollars
US : Japan : China = 10 : 4 : 1
In each GDP the ratio of the hardware and the software industry is,
Hardware ... 17% : 35% : 50%
Software ... 80% : 65% : 35%
The ratio of the software industry in 1980 is,
60% : 15% : 3%
China is still depending mainly on the manufacturing industry but the software industry is also remarkably growing.
Everyone knows that the industry distribution in the 21st century is the software to developed nations and the hardware to developing nations.
Is China able to be a developed nation, and if so, how many years will it take?
It is too hard to come to a conclusion at present.
Yet the factor as criteria is clear.
The hardware industry is the core of the modern industrialized society; it will shift to the intellectual society in the software industry after the most suited modern-industrialized society is established. It depends on how long it will take for the most suited modern-industrialized society to be realized.
Then, I$B!G(Bll infer it from the potentiality of each state and the past course.
Population on a basis of the market size: (3 : 1 : 12)
US ... 0.27 billion
Japan ... 0.13 billion
China ... 1.23 billion
Potentiality of the land and materials: (26 : 1 : 26)
US ... 9.63 million $B#k-V(B
Japan ... 0.38 million $B#k-V(B
China ... 9.60 million $B#k-V(B
Potentiality on the whole: (78 : 1 : 312)
Past record of modernization: (220 yrs : 130 yrs : 50 yrs)
Current latent ability: (132 : 1 : 130)
While the possibility that Japan becomes a superpower equal to the U.S. is 1/130 (0.8%), China must never fail to be the one.
It is about 15 to 20 years later that China will catch up with the U.S. when I calculate with presuming that the above-mentioned GDP$B!G(Bs growth rate of both countries 4% and 8% can be maintained.
Japan has no choice but to aim to build a skill nation that focuses on its forte.
Monetary system is approaching its breakdown
Now the U.S. is considerably changing.
It tends to be seen as disrespectable like Japan by Europe because of its originally free national character and short history; however, it is proud of its capitalistic and liberal democratic thought.
A new culture is about to emerge in this country, which has repeated rebuilding a new metropolis after the formerly prosperous one falls.
New York, once called the biggest city in the world, was headed for a fall from 1960s to 1980s but has risen again.
For America where commercial investment is allowed, once land price and every other price mounted in a flourishing city, the city would be worthless for investment and the capital would be transferred to a new city that could give the investment greater efficiency.
The prices of land and house as well as tax are affordable in the new city.
Expecting that, people move in there.
Its market grows more and more; the investment also increases.
Detroit that had been a city of automobile has been in ruin until several years ago.
Since the increasing export of Japanese and European automobiles brought the U.S. big three to a management crisis, the city was flooded with the unemployed due to big downsizing. That broke the peace and Detroit became so desolate that even a Japanese general trading company notorious for its vanity avoided setting up its base in downtown.
As a result, American automobile companies transferred their bases from Detroit into Henderson in the suburbs of Las Vegas. The world automobile makers also followed them to set up their bases in Henderson.
Henderson has been elected to be the best town to live in.
Las Vegas is said to be the most attractive city in the world for casino hotels, entertainments and the public peace.
Henderson, however, is in Clark County consisted of Las Vegas, North Las Vegas and Henderson; we must not overlook the fact that the county is trying to build a new city with an unprecedented concept, aiming at a new metropolis in place of Los Angeles that is now going downhill.
Its basic policy is a tax preference system.
One hundred thousand people a year are drawn into the tax preference to move from other places to Henderson. (After all the rise and fall of a state depends on whether taxes are heavy or not.)
Honolulu that used to be the town of Japanese$B!G(B dreams is now hard to live in because of the heaviest tax in the U.S. and some of the people who live there are moving into Las Vegas.
So people tend to transfer to a town comfortable to live in.
In the meantime, Detroit began to indicate that it is being restored several years ago as well as New York.
New investments are booming as the desolate town made many people move out and the market reduced in scale, which caused prices especially land price to drop on the principle of supply and demand.
So the area near the Renaissance Center is drastically changing.
The essence of the capitalistic and free competitive economy where the balance between supply and demand decides prices reflected the land price, and that was the virtuous circle of the theory of evolution.
The U.S. is likely to create a novel culture heading for the 21st century.
Is it based on the really matured free competitive economy and a capitalistic culture?
Compared with that, Japan is alarmingly declining.
It used to be proud of being the safest country in the world. Today, however, many towns change its aspect in the night, especially the deteriorated security in Osaka should be a social problem in near future.
It is sad that the business recession makes people feel more anxious about their future and even changes their mind.
The market for financial products focusing on the derivative that is said to be an evil of speculation has constantly been growing to reach 100 trillion dollars. It far exceeded the substantial cash flow; finally the money game has become the forth hitter in the corporate profits.
In addition to that, in the forefront of the world economy, a new product called the weather derivative has emerged.
Recently Europe also is turning to follow this change of America; it is likely to get ahead of America.
It can be seen in the transformation of Riverside in London, Vendome in France.
For now, the financial market has entered the times of competition in derivative technique.
The system of the monetary economy has reached a turning point in its history.
Meanwhile, only Japan has not changed at all; it just makes effort to catch up, with mimicking others.
I can$B!G(Bt help doubting whether its technique is effective in the fast-moving world hereafter, too.
Since then it took almost 10 years now it was September 2011 when not only America was going to declare the nation$B!G(Bs default but countries of European Union were facing the budget deficit.
This is entirely the fact that,
The monetary system is going to collapse very soon.
The only way for Japan$B!G(Bs survival (To build up new intelligence)
Peter Ferdinand Drucker called futurist was reported to have said that,
It had been the age of organization up to the 20th century but will be the age of individual from the 21st century.
It will be possible if each of Japanese could make his capability up in order to build the newly-born intelligence on the basis of new sense of view to stand at the stage of the dawn of new age.
The key-word is $B!H(Bthe dawn of new age$B!I(B.
We can figure out if we look down the history that each age was changing from the age of organization into the age of individual or from the age of individual into the age of organization when the new age came out.
It was the changing from the age of individual into the age of organization when the civilized society had changed from the ancient times to the middle ages.
It was the changing from the age of organization into the age of individual when the civilized society had changed from the middle ages into the early modern period.
It was the changing from the age of individual into the age of organization when the civilized society had changed from the early modern period into the modern times.
It will be the changing from the age of organization into the age of individual when the civilized society had changed from the modern times into the new age.
This is entirely the proof that,
The changing for the age of organization up to the 20th century into the age of individual from the 21st century is nothing but the dawn of new age.
The aiming of this book is to find out the complete diametrically idea from the conventional Nitta philosophy and Nitta view of history.
April 29, 2012 Satoshi Nitta
|Chapter 1 The day when money is going to disappear|
|Chapter 2 The end of the civilized society|
|Chapter 3 The vertical view of history|
|Chapter 4 The double imaginary world|
|Chapter 5 The upside-down society & The right side-up society|
|Chapter 6 The circular motion society|
|Chapter 7 The virtual society = the circular motion society|
|Chapter 8 The four-dimensional circular motion society = The virtual society (The multi-imaginary society) = The society of truth|
|Chapter 9 The digital money society $B"a(B The society of truth|
|Chapter 10 The collapse of monetary system|
|Chapter 11 Formed money $B"*(B Formless money|
|Chapter 12 History of money|
|Chapter 13 Concept of interest = concept of profit = concept of discrimination|
|Chapter 14 Ultra widening gap society $B"a(B Ultra equality society|
|Chapter 15 Ultra widening gap society is coming?|
|Chapter 16 Ultra equality society is coming? (The most hopeful decade is coming?)|
|Chapter 17 Beyond civilized society is coming|
|Chapter 18 Beyond economy society|
|Chapter 19 Society without nation/politics/economy|
|Chapter 20 World without nation|
|Chapter 21 World without politics|
|Chapter 22 World without economy|
|Chapter 23 The age for beyond individual|
|Chapter 24 Common sense/Uncommon sense to beyond common sense|
|Chapter 25 Age of beyond|
|Chapter 26 Age of newly-born woman-kind|
|Chapter 27 The Woman Society is coming!|
|Chapter 28 The Woman$B!G(Bs works|
|Chapter 29 The concept of job in the 21st century|
|Chapter 30 The dawn of the Newly-born Age|
At the end
$B!H(BThe concept of richness$B!I(B was written at January 2002 and as a result $B!H(BThe Dawn of Newly-born Age$B!I(B has been gone over in 2012.
We can figure out that,
The 21st century shall have the role of opening the dawn of newly-born age.
The keywords shall be $B!H(BThe age of individual$B!I(B and $B!H(BThe woman society$B!I(B
October 26 2012 Satoshi Nitta